Triple Tropics Watch: Gulf Rain, Hawaii Risk, Pacific Low
Published Jul 25, 2025
Three tropical areas are being monitored: A weak system in the north-central Gulf may bring heavy rain to the Gulf Coast but has only a 10% development chance. Southeast of Hawaii, a disturbance could slowly strengthen into a depression by early next week (40% chance). A third system off Mexico’s southwest coast has low potential to develop next week.
Tracking three areas for potential tropical development
Weather enthusiasts and coastal residents, keep a close eye on the tropics! Three distinct areas are currently under scrutiny for potential tropical development, each presenting unique weather scenarios. From the Gulf Coast to Hawaii and the Pacific Ocean, here's a breakdown of what you need to know.
Weak system brings rain to Gulf Coast
A weak tropical system is currently swirling in the north-central Gulf of Mexico. While its organization remains poor, and the National Hurricane Center gives it only a 10% chance of developing into a tropical depression or storm, it poses a significant threat of heavy rainfall along the Gulf Coast. Coastal regions from Texas to Florida should prepare for periods of intense downpours, potentially leading to localized flooding. Stay tuned to local weather forecasts for specific rainfall amounts and potential flood warnings. While not expected to strengthen significantly, this system serves as a reminder that even weak tropical disturbances can deliver impactful weather.
Disturbance southeast of Hawaii being monitored
Far out in the Pacific, southeast of the Hawaiian Islands, another area of disturbed weather is being monitored. This system has a slightly higher chance of development, currently pegged at 40% by the National Hurricane Center. Forecast models suggest that it could slowly strengthen into a tropical depression by early next week. While it's still too early to determine the exact track and intensity, residents of Hawaii should begin preparing for the possibility of increased rainfall, gusty winds, and rough surf. Monitoring updates from the National Weather Service and local news outlets will be crucial in the coming days.
Low potential off the southwest coast
The third area of interest is located off the southwest coast of Mexico. This system currently exhibits low potential for development into a tropical cyclone next week. Atmospheric conditions in the area are not particularly conducive to strengthening, but forecasters will continue to monitor its progress. While the threat to land appears minimal at this time, mariners in the region should be aware of the possibility of increased wave heights and gusty winds.
Review hurricane plans and stay informed
With three tropical areas under observation, now is an excellent time to review your hurricane preparedness plans. Ensure you have a supply of essential items such as water, non-perishable food, medications, and a battery-powered weather radio. Know your evacuation routes, and be prepared to act quickly if a warning is issued. Remember, even systems with low development potential can bring hazardous conditions. Staying informed through official sources like the National Hurricane Center and your local news outlets is the best way to protect yourself and your family. Pay close attention to weather updates and advisories, and be ready to adjust your plans as needed.
Stay informed, navigate hurricane season confidently
The tropics are a dynamic and ever-changing environment. By staying informed and prepared, you can navigate the hurricane season with confidence and ensure your safety and well-being.