AccuWeather predicts a slightly below-average Atlantic hurricane season in 2026, forecasting 11 to 16 named storms, with 4 to 7 becoming hurricanes and 2 to 4 reaching major hurricane status (Category 3 or higher). The season's activity is expected to be influenced by the development of El Niño, which typically increases wind shear in the Atlantic basin, disrupting the formation and intensification of tropical cyclones. There is also a potential for a super El Niño to develop later in the season, which could further suppress storm activity during peak months. Despite the anticipated influence of El Niño, warm water temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean and the Gulf of Mexico could persist. These elevated water temperatures can provide additional energy for storm formation and rapid intensification, raising concerns about the potential for powerful hurricanes to develop quickly.