Climate Models Grapple with Cloud Uncertainty Amid Warming Predictions
Climate Models Grapple with Cloud Uncertainty Amid Warming Predictions
US · Published Feb 21, 2026
Climate models struggle with accurately predicting future climate conditions due to the complex role of clouds.
Artificial intelligence is being explored to improve cloud modeling and enhance the accuracy of climate predictions.
The Energy Exascale Earth System Model (E3SM) is a detailed attempt to address cloud modeling challenges, yet still relies on approximations.
Clouds' intricate role complicates climate forecast models
Climate physicists face major challenges in accurately predicting future climate conditions due to the complex role of clouds in climate models. Quanta Magazine reports that if carbon emissions continue at the current rate, global temperatures could rise by 2 to 6 degrees Celsius in the next 50 years. The lower range could increase severe weather and resource scarcity, while the higher range could destabilize human civilization.
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