Phoenix's 2025 Fall Outlook: Warmer, Drier, and Longer
Phoenix's 2025 Fall Outlook: Warmer, Drier, and Longer
US · Published Sep 16, 2025
Phoenix is forecast to experience warmer-than-average temperatures and drier conditions in Fall
NOAA predicts a 40–70% chance of above-normal warmth across Arizona, with the Southwest warming faster than other regions.
Residents are advised to take precautions against prolonged heat, conserve water, and stay informed about weather updates.
Phoenix fall 2025 forecast: Warmer, drier conditions
Phoenix is bracing for a warmer and drier fall in 2025, according to the latest weather forecasts. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) predicts a 40–70% chance of above-normal temperatures across Arizona, indicating that the Southwest region is warming at a faster rate compared to other areas. This forecast aligns with observed trends since 1970, which show a consistent increase in fall temperatures and a reduction in rainfall.
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