New Solar Forecasting Method Validated by Far-Side Eruptions
New Solar Forecasting Method Validated by Far-Side Eruptions
US · Published Feb 25, 2026
New system predicts solar superflares up to two years in advance.
Model identifies high-risk periods in 2025-2027 for solar storms.
Advance warning allows for better protection of satellites and power grids.
New system predicts solar storms in advance
An international team of scientists has pioneered a novel forecasting system capable of predicting the occurrence of powerful solar storms, known as superflares, well in advance. These superflares pose a significant threat to Earth's technological infrastructure, with the potential to disrupt power grids, communications, and satellites, as well as endanger astronauts. The forecasting method, detailed in the Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics, focuses on identifying extended periods of heightened solar activity rather than pinpointing specific moments of superflare occurrence. By analyzing 50 years of satellite data, the researchers have uncovered patterns in solar activity linked to natural solar cycles, enabling them to forecast periods and locations on the sun with a higher risk of superflares. The model predicts danger windows during mid-2025 to mid-2026 in the sun's southern hemisphere and early-to-mid 2027 in the northern hemisphere.
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